Track Hurricane Michael: Spaghetti models, forecast cone and satellite

Audrey Hill
October 9, 2018

Michael is the 13th named storm of the 2018 hurricane season, according to hurricane center spokesman Dennis Feltgen. That will change if the track of the storm changes, but meteorologists seem pretty confident that Michael will continue to make its way due north, making landfall in Florida's panhandle.

Hurricane Michael could bring tropical storm force winds, so residents of the area are encouraged to secure any loose objects.

Michael has strengthened into a hurricane and is forecast to strike the northeast Florida coastline as a Category 3 with risky storm surge flooding, destructive winds and flooding rainfall.

A tropical weather system that rapidly strengthened into Hurricane Michael on Monday is likely to keep growing stronger ahead of an expected strike on Florida's Panhandle by midweek, forecasters said.

Governor Rick Scott has extended his emergency order to additional counties and is requesting pre-landfall disaster declaration.

The Hurricane Center noted that the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend areas into southern Georgia are looking at 4 to 8 inches of rain from Michael, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches.

"Hurricane conditions will spread over portions of western Cuba this afternoon, where a hurricane warning is now in effect".

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At its current rate of speed, tropical storm force winds should reach the northern Gulf Coast as early as Tuesday evening, after which conditions will steadily deteriorate.

By 11 a.m. Monday, Michael's top sustained winds were around 75 miles per hour.

Michael was a Category 1 hurricane but could make landfall as a Category 3, and forecasters warned it could send down 10 to 30 centimetres of rain.

Tropical Storm Michael formed on Sunday in the Caribbean Sea and appears to have designs on the panhandle and big bend regions of Florida, according to early forecast tracks.

Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, who is also the Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the November 6 elections, said on Sunday he was cancelling his campaign events and returning to Tallahassee to focus on storm preparations.

"If this storm hit Panama City, Tampa could still have storm surge", said Scott, referring to two Florida cities about 600 kilometres apart by highway. Rainfall is a lesser threat due to the storm's progressive movement to the north.

Once the storm makes landfall, some projections estimate that it could make its way across Georgia and into North and SC before moving out into the Atlantic ocean.

Other reports by MaliBehiribAe

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